MARGIN OF ERROR: First Calls

First calls coming in. Safe Bush states going Bush (Georgia, Alabama, Tennessee. What a surprise). A string of safe Kerrys also dropping in on cue. Mind you, ElectoralVote.com’s poll that threw New Jersey to Bush has been shown up as a wild outlier. Some states called with 0% of results in – how’s that work? BBC News struggling.

Daily Kos is running a set of exits from an alleged contact at the New York Times:

National

Kerry 50

Bush 49

Nader

Florida

Kerry 50

Bush 49

Wisconsin

Kerry 51

Bush 48

Minnesota

Kerry 54

Bush 44

Iowa

Kerry 50

Bush 49

New Hampshire

Kerry 53

Bush 45

Michigan

Kerry 51

Bush 47

Colorado

Kerry 48

Bush 50

Pennsylvania

Kerry 54

Bush 45

New Mexico

Kerry 50

Bush 48

New Jersey

Kerry 53

Bush 48

New York

Kerry 63

Bush 38

Ohio

Kerry 50

Bush 49

West Virginia

Kerry 45

Bush 54

Connecticut

Kerry 50

Bush 48

Missouri

Kerry 43

Bush 54

Interesting – if reliable, and what about that….MARGIN OF ERROR? Kerry now leading 78-66 on the electoral college, after he got all 4 EVs from Maine. Source – BBC News, who are broadcasting aerial footage of giant voter queues in Philadelphia. After all it’s the City of Brotherly Love (cue soul music). Some Bush states – South Carolina, Virginia – are hovering. A Kos commenter claims a Kerry lead of 1% in VA. God, I’ve started using those annoying yank state abbreviations. Time for more coffee!

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