Betting markets are responding to the zeitgeist. I don’t see these as a worthwhile political indicator (scroll down), but they are good at waving with the wind. Apparently Ladbrokes have swung Kerry from odds against to 4/11, Bush from 6/4 to 2/1. Kerry 56% on some internet markets. Good news – if you believe people who deliberately lose money that is.
Mind you, I know you shouldn’t trade on real time noise, but the Ohio real time figures aren’t great. Although TPM claims Kerry pulling away across the……MARGIN OF ERROR!